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In pursuit of Brett Favre’s records

Were Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers just playing for the camera here, or are they finally ready to bury the hatchet?

Were Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers just playing for the camera here, or are they finally ready to bury the hatchet?

 Aaron [Rodgers] has played extremely well, probably even better than anyone anticipated, but I knew he was capable of that and that’s why they drafted him. Barring any injury he’ll shatter everything I ever did there except for maybe consecutive games.

–Brett Favre

When I first read this quote, it struck me as a rare humble gesture on the part of Brett Favre.

But I couldn’t help wondering, is there really any chance that what Favre predicts will come true? After all, it’s become something of conventional wisdom to assume that history will regard Aaron Rodgers as the better quarterback of the two.

To satisfy my curiosity, I decided to investigate the viability of this prediction.

Efficiency personified

Nothing in this says camaraderie

Nothing says “camaraderie” like arms akimbo or folded across the chest.

Rodgers already owns some of the more vaunted NFL efficiency records in his own right. He possesses the highest career regular season and postseason passer rating. He notched the highest single-season passer rating in 2011. He has quickly ascended the charts to rank second in all-time career completion percentage.

Considering the torrid pace at which Rodgers has been piling up the statistics, it seems plausible that he might one day overtake Favre’s longevity records.

The numbers over the past five years speak for themselves. The table below shows Rodgers’ per-season averages.

 

Wins

Att

Comp

Yards

TDs

INTs

Sacks

Sk yds

Playoffs

5-year average

10.4

521

342

4,266

34

9.0

40.0

248

5-3

During this period, he has compiled a 5-3 playoff record.

Escalating performance

Yet averaging out his production over his entire five-year starting career actually understates the impressiveness of some of his accomplishments.

Therefore, for the purposes of extrapolating Rodgers’ future performance, I decided to focus on the last three seasons. But then I noticed that there was an unexpectedly large difference in his 2010 output as compared to his 2011 and 2012 seasons.

Wins

Att

Comp

Yards

TDs

INTs

Sacks

Sk yds

Playoffs

2011 & 2012 only

12.5

357

527

4,469

42

7.0

43.5

256

1-2

2010 season only

10.0

312

475

3,922

28

11.0

31.0

193

4-0

Percent difference

25%

14%

11%

14%

50%

-33%

40%

33%

The numbers from the past two seasons are eye popping and shed further light on just how quickly Rodgers could potentially eclipse Favre’s records. Rodgers’ yards per attempt average has improved and his interception rate has declined significantly. Moreover, his regular season win total is also up.

Arguably, though, Rodgers has been forced to produce these spectacular numbers by factors beyond his control — namely, a lack of sustained output from the run game and a porous defense — both of which have also contributed to Green Bay’s futility in the playoffs.

Interestingly,  it was during Green Bay’s 2010 Super Bowl-winning season that Rodgers actually put up his lowest completion percentage and fewest passing attempts, yards, and touchdowns. Roster depth, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, helped this team overcome what seemed like an insurmountable number of key injuries on its way to four postseason victories.

Slap happy

Favre had the initial laugh for the 2010 season but Rodgers did have the last laugh

Brett Favre had the initial laugh for the 2010 season, but Aaron Rodgers had the last laugh.

What could prevent Rodgers from breaking Favre’s longevity records is his propensity to take sacks. Favre remained healthy for many years because he avoided the hits. He averaged only 27 sacks per season, his highest total being 40, whereas Rodgers has averaged about 40 sacks a year for his career. In fact, Rodgers already has had two seasons with more than 50 sacks.

Ultimately, the true measures of a quarterback are his postseason success and his regular-season statistical output. It’s probably not in Rodgers’ best interest to have his statistical cake and eat it too. If he hopes to have the long and fruitful kind of career Favre enjoyed, he should try to emulate his 2010 season instead of the past two. It’s doubtful he will be able to survive long in this league if he continues to take the kind of beating he has endured of late, particularly running Green Bay’s predictably pass-happy offensive scheme.

1507 comments
504 N.O. EZ
504 N.O. EZ

Rodgers seems at times confused when being interviewed. Those concussions have already taking a toll on Rodgers psyche. I'm I the only one that see's that ?

~ GEAUX SAINTS

zombieslayer
zombieslayer

Aaron breaking any of Favre's records? No.  Favre's records are based on longevity.  The only QB who can get them is Peyton Manning, and he'll more than likely fall short.


The records Aaron will get will be the ones he already has - highest QB rating career and highest QB rating season.  I'm hoping he gets a few more SB rings, but that has nothing to do with Favre's records.

Andylet445
Andylet445

Yardbarker network headlines

4 aaron hernandez headlines

1 jamarcus russel headline

1 warren sapp headline

1 greg jennings is in love with ponder headline.  

Sweet jesus

Maized and Confused
Maized and Confused

Miami fans are glad they can finally get back to what really matters, ignoring the Marlins.

MIBearFan
MIBearFan moderator

Saw this tweet earlier:

"Miami fans are hoping the Heat can close it out in game 8."

MIBearFan
MIBearFan moderator

MaC, what's the difference between an Ale, and  a Lager?

Andylet445
Andylet445

Only one more NBA season and Lebron will be a Laker.  So exciting. 

Maized and Confused
Maized and Confused

So, Prep, I know you of all people are excited about Kim and Kanye's baby.

When are you having the celebration party?

G & G
G & G moderator

So... Kanye's baby will be attending Northwestern University?

Childerz...
Childerz...

SOOOOOO How pissed are Bulls fans that the Heat won last night??? that Dwade played injured and Drose wouldn't even lace up for a playoff series because he's a baby??? I feel like that victory stung far more for Bulls fans than Spurs fans.. 

.

Also can anyone Deny Pop's isn't one of the greatest coaches in NBA history?? He ALMOST won another title with a no show Manu and a 37 year old Duncan.. 

MIBearFan
MIBearFan moderator

@andylet445 

Have Greg and Christian acted on their feelings yes? That would be a juicy scandal.

MIBearFan
MIBearFan moderator

@jwoude23 Bear Down  

Speaking of soccer; Amy Wambach needed 2 goals to tie Mia Hamm for most international goals. She got 4 goals in the first 45 minutes of the US match against Korea yesterday.

Childerz...
Childerz...

@Bipolar Unemployed Lawyer I agree.... Game 6 if he leaves Duncan in that ball is rebounded and Allen never makes the game tying 3 pointer... also Manu was like a man possessed with retardation. 

Childerz...
Childerz...

@MIBearFan Because Jwoude spent a full day writing an article about how the Bulls coul dbeat the Heat next year.... 

Childerz...
Childerz...

 OK KIDS WORK TOUR THE BREWERY!!!! Then back to work for a 6hr meeting on HR and Sexual Harassment

MIBearFan
MIBearFan moderator

@Childerz.. @MIBearFan 

Oh. I could care less what happens in B-Ball once the Bulls are out of it. I would have liked to see Duncan get another title, but it doesn't bother me that the Heat won.