If Mosley is there at 14, HOW do you pass on him? He's probably the best all around athlete on defense, in the draft. I like Nix, but Aaron Donald would probably help the pass rush more. I think you Do go with a CB in round 2, because there are more good safeties -it's a deeper position in the draft.
Potential Chicago Bears NFL Draft Scenarios
- Updated: April 10, 2014
With significant free agency all but over and the 2014 NFL draft rapidly approaching, it is time to turn our attention solely to what needs teams will be looking to address in the draft.
The Chicago Bears have helped fill out their defense tremendously in free agency, but they still have somewhat pressing needs at defensive tackle, safety, and cornerback. A rookie could conceivably come in at defensive tackle or safety and win a starting job right away, while a cornerback could find himself starting if one of the aging veterans in front of him gets injured.
All three positions have at least one projected starter as of right now in the last year of his contract, so at the very least any player drafted for these roles would be expected to compete for a starting job in 2015.
Although the Bears have other depth needs that could be addressed in the NFL draft, these three positions clearly stand out as the biggest areas of need right now. Therefore I believe it is highly possible that Chicago’s first three picks will be spent, in some order, on a cornerback, safety, and defensive tackle.
Since it is impossible to realistically project just one player to each position, I thought I would look at the six possible scenarios in which the Bears spend their first three picks on these positions, examine the options for each position in each round, and see which scenarios look like better options than others. We’ll start by looking at potential targets for each position in each round.
There are three cornerbacks who could likely be in play for the Chicago Bears with the fourteenth pick of round one. The consensus top two corners are Justin Gilbert and Darqueze Dennard, but one or both could be gone before the Bears pick. A late riser who could be considered is Kyle Fuller.
The cornerback class is considered very deep in the NFL draft this year, so there are a plethora of players with round two or three grades depending on who you ask. Some players who are generally viewed as likely to go in round two include Lamarcus Joyner, Marcus Roberson, and Stanley Jean-Baptiste.
Any one of those players could easily fall to round three. Other cornerbacks who could be available in that round include Keith McGill, Pierre Desir, Victor Hampton, EJ Gaines, and Terrance Mitchell.
Round one defensive tackles the Bears could consider are Aaron Donald (the best pass rushing defensive tackle in the NFL draft), Timmy Jernigan (the best run-stuffing defensive tackle in the NFL draft), and Ra’Shede Hageman (the defensive tackle with the most upside in the draft). Another interesting possibility is Stephon Tuitt, a defensive end in college who has the size (300 pounds) to play defensive tackle in a 4-3 alignment.
In round two, the team could look at several options, including pass rushers like Kelcy Quarles, Will Sutton, or Dominique Easley. Sutton and Easley are intriguing as players who at one point were considered first round picks but dropped due to problems with weight (Sutton) or injuries (Easley).
There is a chance that one of the round two guys could drop to round three (some think Sutton could go in round three or even four). If they do not, other possibilities to consider are Ego Ferguson, DeQuan Jones, Anthony Johnson, or maybe even Caraun Reid.
The consensus top two safeties in the NFL draft could both be in play for the Bears in round one, but it is possible one of them could be gone before they pick. These players are HaHa Clinton-Dix and Calvin Pryor.
Three safeties who could be in play in round two are Deone Bucannon, Jimmie Ward, and Terrance Brooks. These players have varying grades from different sources and could be drafted anywhere between late round one or round three.
Safeties expected to go in round three include Dion Bailey, Ahmad Dixon, Ed Reynolds, and Craig Loston. In my opinion the dropoff from round two to this group is fairly substantial, but some of these players have tremendous promise, most notably Bailey.
If the Chicago Bears do indeed spend their first three picks of the 2014 NFL draft on a safety, cornerback, and defensive tackle, there are six different scenarios in which that could play out. The scenarios are listed in the table below, along with a player I think would be a good option at that point to give you an idea of what a draft in that scenario could look like.
|Round 1||Round 2||Round 3|
|Option 1||DT (Aaron Donald)||CB (Marcus Roberson)||S (Dion Bailey)|
|Option 2||DT (Aaron Donald)||S (Deone Bucannon)||CB (Pierre Desir)|
|Option 3||CB (Darqueze Dennard)||DT (Will Sutton)||S (Dion Bailey)|
|Option 4||S (HaHa Clinton-Dix)||DT (Will Sutton)||CB (Pierre Desir)|
|Option 5||CB (Darqueze Dennard)||S (Deone Bucannon||DT (Ego Ferguson)|
|Option 6||S (HaHa Clinton-Dix)||CB (Marcus Roberson)||DT (Ego Ferguson)|
Looking at these options, I like number two the best for a couple reasons. First, I think the defensive line is the most important part of the defense, so making the best possible defensive line should be the priority if the draft values and needs are close.
Second, Aaron Donald is my favorite player in the NFL draft and I am absolutely convinced he will be a superstar you can build a defense around. Consequently, I believe the Bears should not hesitate to grab him if he is there when they draft. I also would not mind Timmy Jernigan, who should be an elite run stuffer and continue the Bears’ work to shore up that area of their defense.
Finally, I believe the round two safeties are the best merger of value and need at that position, although this is risky in assuming either Ward or Bucannon is there when the Bears are on the clock with the 51st pick of the NFL draft. I honestly think the gap between the top safeties and those two is extremely minimal, and believe that grabbing either Clinton-Dix or Pryor with the 14th pick would mean passing on a better player at another position.
Not set in stone
It is important, however, to remember that it is certainly possible the NFL draft does not play out with any one of these scenarios. It is possible the Bears will trade down in round one and pick up an extra pick in rounds two or three, which obviously changes how they approach the draft. It is also possible a linebacker like CJ Mosley is the choice in round one, and an offensive player or linebacker could very well be drafted in rounds two or three.
But general manager Phil Emery has been highly predictable in drafting for positions of need in his two years on the job so far, so it is highly possible the first three rounds will yield the Chicago Bears a cornerback, safety, and defensive tackle. If that happens, which option do you like the best, and what players would you target? Let me know in the poll and the comments below.
RobertJ Harper looked watched up behind the Saints front 7 that had 2 players with double digit sacks, I don't think he'll be that much better in Carolina and Mikell's last year in STL was before Quinn broke through..Long was their only consistent Dline player.
RobertJ, Mikell was nothing on STL? Check his stats, look at his pff grade his last year in STL, all better than last season.. He had 101 tackles 3 sacks and 4 ff's his last year in STL.. He's better than Harper.. He wasn't too bad for panthers either with 59 tackles 3 sacks and 2 ff's... But don't sit here in say he was nothing before the panthers..
Dogs are better than people sometimes.
@Cam Of Steel STL has had great line play for years. It is the one thing they do real well. Harper and DeCoud, if healthy, will match Mikell and Mitchell's numbers from last year.
@Cam Of SteelSo he had a nice year behind an other very good line. Funny that how when NOR had a good line Harper was a good player and when Atlanta had a good line DeCoud was a ProBowl player, and when Mikell played behind two of the best lines in the NFL he is a good player and when Mitchell came to a team with a good line he when from shit to a good player. Hmmm maybe it has less to do with the players and more to do with stout front lines and system?
@Cam Of Steel Have you considered there is more than just on field aid these guys bring from teams we will play 4 games against? Like years of intel and more playoff experience than 90% of our defense currently has?
@Staffords_Glove™ No and no he still got it lol.
@Johnathan Wood You need to twit all the articles.
@TheHorse You have to change your name to TheGelding
@Cam Of Steel I followed.
They probably could surpass them but I'm not counting on that..I expect Godfrey to start and unfortunately Harper at the other position.
@TheHorse And yet many times better than the safeties we started last year.
I hope Harper proves me wrong, it would be a good boost for the team..I'm just not gonna get my hopes up about him, that's all.
@Cam Of Steel You also are not taking into account that Harper was put on the PUP in late July, did not get to practice with an entire new offensive coaching staff and scheme. He only started 5 games. Yet still had 37 tackles, 1 FR and an INT. The first time he has missed that much time since his rookie year. Not really a fair evaluation considering the entirety of his career.
@Cam Of Steel Tackling is something that can be taught. Our defensive coaches are far better than Atlanta's. And the guys he will be surrounded by are better defenders. His 2011 was very similarly good to his pro bowl year of 2012. I don't think he is great but he is perfectly adequate to do what we need.
And I think Decoud was a one hit wonder, I know their line wasn't good by any means last year, but Decoud's tackling form looked worser than a pop warner player, beyond pathetic.. A good line will allow him to catch some picks but his tackling is beyond pathetic.
@Cam Of Steel Harper is three years younger and has played 3 fewer seasons on defenses that, for the most part, were worse than Mikells in Philly, STL and Carolina yet he has only 40 less tackles, 6 more sacks, 6 more FF and 5 less INTs. In THREE LESS YEARS! Did you notice how Mikell improved when he moved to a better D, STL at 31? Now why would you not think Harper who has out performed Mikell over the first 8 years of his career, compared to Mikell first 8 can't show a jump in productivity similar to that inferior version at safety moving to the 2nd best D in the league?
@Cam Of Steel No, it was the same shit line they had in 2012 that gave up historic amounts of yards and points. I won't claim to understand what Ryan did with that defense but they are subpar players it was magical.
Oh my mistake I thought you meant they are better than all of our safety's. I agree Decoud could make a impact we'll see
@UNCfan Loves Bewbs! WE still have Lester and Godfrey. I meant Mitchell and Mikell who were the Primary Starters last season
Mikell was nothing before he got behind out line. Although I am more concerned about Harper than our other three because of age.
@Agent Reggie Pest control..not Personal Computer
Funny, I went to school my Junior/Senior years for Computer Support.
Though hardware stuff is the only thing I was good at. Once software stuff was taught Senior year, I checked out,. Bored me.
@Agent Reggie Move to the coast. I'm going to need another PC tech soon.
Field? I just said I'm not in college right now.
The plan is to find something around here (looking at lumber yard, NAPA, AMC jobs currently) and then to go to school down the street to be a fireman if that's what I decide to do with my life.
Just a "plan" though. Hopefully it works out.
Nope. But I was set to get out. I had $3000 worth of rent saved from my warehouse job when I worked there, before my roommate backed out just before. So I stayed here and helped my parents with money when it was needed.
Common theme around here. Many people I went to school with, even college kids, are back at home because they either couldn't afford to be elsewhere due to college costs, or they can't find jobs in their field.